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		<title>Weekly Economic Update For March 29, 2010</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Mar 2010 15:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pete Mitchell</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Quote of the week. “Nothing in life is to be feared. It is only to be understood.”– Marie Curie]]></description>
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<p><strong>Quote of the week.</strong> “Nothing in life is to be feared. It is only to be understood.”– Marie Curie</p>
<p><strong>Reforms become law.</strong> President Obama signed his long-envisioned health care reforms into law on March 23, a truly dark day for America and proof that we have long since turned the corner from being the land of the free.  Obama will sign the amendments to the bill into law on March 30. Most of the major changes will take effect after the next Presidential election, when health insurance will become compulsory for nearly all Americans. Those that will be excluded from this will be Native American’s, Inmates and those with religious objections. I think we are going to see a lot more with religious objections. After all, if there is one thing that politicians have taught us is that it all depends on your definition of the word “religious.” Right President Clinton? Of course, new taxes will help fund the reforms which means that nothing you hold sacred is safe from the government, because after all, any money that we get to keep after a hard days work is a privilege from the state and federal governments, not a God given right.<sup>1,2,3</sup></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>But let’s talk about some good news. Home sales still underwhelming. I seam to remember a campaign slogan, it is the economy stupid.  Anyway, e</strong>xisting home sales dipped 0.6% for February while new home sales slipped 2.2% to another all-time low (although data only goes back to 1964). So were there any positives in the new Commerce Department report? Yes. The median sale price of new homes was about 5% above where it was a year ago.<sup>4</sup></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>A gain in durable goods orders. </strong>The 0.5% rise in February was accompanied by news that durable goods inventories increased by 0.3%, the best such gain since December 2008.<sup>5</sup></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>USDI surges north. </strong>When the U.S. Dollar Index is up 1.10% for the week (and 4.82% for the month), what happens with gold and oil? Well, gold and oil prices respectively fell 0.30% and 1.20% last week, with crude futures at exactly $80.00 per barrel at Friday’s close on the NYMEX.<sup>6</sup></p>
<p><strong>S&amp;P 500 climbs 5.62% in 4 weeks. </strong>Stocks had another fine week from March 22-26, with the <a href="http://petemitchellinc.com/372/what-does-the-nasdaq-stand-for/" class="kblinker" title="More about NASDAQ &raquo;">NASDAQ</a> advancing 0.87%, the Dow 1.01% and the S&amp;P 500 0.58% as part of a great 4-week run.<sup>7</sup></p>
<p><sup> </sup></p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="349">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong><em>% Change</em></strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>Y-T-D</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>1-Yr Chg </strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>5-Yr Avg</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>10-Yr Avg</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>DJIA</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>+4.05</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>+36.92</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>+0.78</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>-0.16</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>NASDAQ</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>+5.55</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>+50.92</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>+4.06</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>-5.17</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>S&amp;P 500</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>+4.62</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>+40.07</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>-0.08</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>-2.34</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong><em>Real Yield</em></strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>3/26</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>1 Yr Ago</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>5 Yrs Ago</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>10 Yrs Ago</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>10YrTIPS</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>1.62%</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>1.30%</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>1.90%</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>4.34%</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em><br />
</em></p>
<address><em>(Source: CNBC.com, BigCharts.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 3/26/10)<sup>8,9,10</sup></em></address>
<address><em>Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be</em></address>
<address><em> invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.</em></address>
<p><strong>Now the riddle of the week:</strong></p>
<p><strong>Last week’s riddle:</strong> Is there a number made of eleven tens of thousands, eleven thousands, eleven hundreds and eleven units? If so, what is it??</p>
<p><strong>The answer:</strong> Yes -- the number is 122,111. 110,000 + 11,000 + 1,100 + 11 = 122,111<strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>This week’s riddle.</strong> Two-and-a-half artists spend two-and-a-half hours painting two-and-a-half models on two-and-a-half canvases. How many artists would be necessary to paint 24 models on 24 canvases in 20 hours?</p>
<address>The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 (S&amp;P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx<sup>®</sup>, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world&#8217;s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0o5C5zNnG5k" class="kblinker" title="More about energy &raquo;">energy</a>, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. www.montoyaregistry.com www.petermontoya.com</address>
<address> </address>
<address><strong>Citations.</strong></address>
<address><sup> </sup></address>
<address>1<sup> </sup>nytimes.com/2010/03/23/health/policy/23health.html?ref=us [3/23/10]</address>
<address>2 voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2010/03/obama-to-sign-health-care-fixe.html?wprss=44 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>3 cnn.com/2010/POLITICS/03/21/health.care.main/?hpt=Sbin [3/21/10]</address>
<address>4 foxbusiness.com/story/markets/industries/industrials/february-new-home-sales--annual-rate/ [3/24/10]</address>
<address>5 reuters.com/article/idUSN239670720100324?type=marketsNews [3/24/10]</address>
<address>6 cnbc.com/id/36057788/page/2/ [3/26/10]</address>
<address>7 blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2010/03/26/data-points-us-markets-221/ [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=DJIA&amp;close_date=3%2F26%2F09&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=COMP&amp;close_date=3%2F26%2F09&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=SPX&amp;close_date=3%2F26%2F09&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=DJIA&amp;close_date=3%2F25%2F05&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=COMP&amp;close_date=3%2F25%2F05&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=SPX&amp;close_date=3%2F25%2F05&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=DJIA&amp;close_date=3%2F27%2F00&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=COMP&amp;close_date=3%2F27%2F00&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=SPX&amp;close_date=3%2F27%2F00&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]</address>
<address>9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [3/26/10]</address>
<address>9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [3/26/10]</address>
<address>10 treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]</address>

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		<title>Pete Mitchells Weekly Economic Update &#8211; February 1st, 2010</title>
		<link>http://petemitchellinc.com/4/pete-mitchells-weekly-economic-update-february-1st-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://petemitchellinc.com/4/pete-mitchells-weekly-economic-update-february-1st-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2010 00:32:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pete Mitchell</dc:creator>
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</span><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w5-TxwTyErQ&fmt=18">www.youtube.com/watch?v=w5-TxwTyErQ</a></p></p>
<p><strong>Quote of the week.</strong> “Reputation is what other people know about you. Honor is what you know about yourself.”– Lois McMaster Bujold</p>
<p><strong>4Q GDP: 5.7%: </strong>That is the preliminary reading from the Commerce Department, and that is the best reading since 3Q 2003. Economists pointed out that much of the increase reflected companies rebuilding their inventories rather than personal spending.<sup>1</sup></p>
<p><strong>Consumers think positive. </strong>The final University of Michigan/Reuters consumer sentiment index for January improved 1.6 points to 74.4. Economists polled by Briefing.com felt it would come in at 73.0.<sup>2</sup></p>
<p><strong>New concerns about home sales. </strong>Both new and existing home sales retreated markedly in December with the threat of federal tax credits being pulled. Existing home sales fell by 16.7% in that month while new home sales slipped 7.6%. In annual terms, residential resales for 2009 were about 5% higher than 2008 totals. Just 373,000 new single-family homes were sold in 2009, the fewest since the government began tracking sales stats in 1963.<sup>3,4</sup></p>
<p><strong>A $5K hiring rebate? </strong>Last week,<strong> </strong>President Obama pitched the idea of giving companies of all sizes a $5,000 credit to offset payroll taxes for each new worker, up to a $500,000 ceiling. Net new hires (increasing employee hours) and salary increases could also make companies eligible. A proposal to enact the plan is now in the Senate.<sup>5</sup></p>
<p><strong>Dollar hits highest level since August. </strong>The buck went on an intraday climb to 90.92 yen and the euro traded below $1.39. The new GDP report helped.<sup>6</sup></p>
<p><strong>So long to a subpar month. </strong>Stocks retreated<strong> </strong>in the last week of January, with the Dow ending the month at 10,067.33, the <a href="http://petemitchellinc.com/372/what-does-the-nasdaq-stand-for/" class="kblinker" title="More about NASDAQ &raquo;">NASDAQ</a> at 2,147.35 and the S&amp;P 500 at 1,073.87.<sup>7</sup></p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="349">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong><em>% Change</em></strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>Y-T-D</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>1-Yr Chg </strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>5-Yr Avg</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>10-Yr Avg</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>DJIA</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>-3.46</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>+23.54</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>-0.69</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>-0.63</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>NASDAQ</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>-5.37</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>+42.41</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>+1.10</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>-4.48</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>S&amp;P 500</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>-3.70</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>+27.06</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>-1.66</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>-2.10</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong><em>Real Yield</em></strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>1/29</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>1 Yr Ago</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>5 Yrs Ago</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>10 Yrs Ago</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="78"><strong>10YrTIPS</strong></td>
<td width="57"><strong>1.30%</strong></td>
<td width="68"><strong>1.83%</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>1.65%</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>4.34%</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em><br />
</em><em>(Source: CNBC.com, CNNMoney.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 1/29/10)<sup>7,8,9,10</sup></em></p>
<p><em>Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be</em></p>
<p><em> invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.</em></p>
<p><strong>Riddle of the week.</strong> A plastic bottle filled with cola weighs one liter. What do you need to add to it to make it weigh less than two ounces?</p>
<p><em>Contact my office or see next week’s Update for the answer.</em></p>
<p><strong>Last week’s riddle:</strong> A glass of water has an ice cube in it. If the ice cube fully melts, will the water level increase, decrease or remain the same?</p>
<p><strong>Last week’s riddle answer:</strong> The water level will stay the same as the ice cube just displaces its weight.</p>
<p><strong><em>___________________________________________________________________</em></strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Please feel free to forward this article to family, friends or colleagues.</em></strong></p>
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<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 (S&amp;P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the <a href="http://petemitchellinc.com/56/an-introduction-to-the-stock-market-presented-by-pete-mitchell/" class="kblinker" title="More about stock market &raquo;">stock market</a> in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx<sup>®</sup>, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world&#8217;s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0o5C5zNnG5k" class="kblinker" title="More about energy &raquo;">energy</a> and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards.</p>
<p><strong>Citations.</strong></p>
<p>1 pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2010/01/us-economy-expands-at-fastest-rate-in-six-years.html [1/29/10]</p>
<p>2 money.cnn.com/2010/01/29/markets/markets_newyork/ [1/29/10]</p>
<p>3 money.cnn.com/2010/01/27/real_estate/new_home_sales/ [1/27/10]</p>
<p>4<sup> </sup>nytimes.com/2010/01/30/business/economy/30charts.html [1/29/10]</p>
<p>5 time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1957663,00.html?xid=rss-topstories [1/29/10]</p>
<p>6 cnbc.com/id/35136215/ [1/29/10]</p>
<p>7 cnbc.com/id/35017549 [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F29%2F09&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=DJIA [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F28%2F05&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=DJIA [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F28%2F00&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=DJIA [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F29%2F09&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=COMP [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F28%2F05&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=COMP [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F28%2F00&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=COMP [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F29%2F09&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=SPX [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F28%2F05&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=SPX [1/29/10]</p>
<p>8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=1%2F28%2F00&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=SPX [1/29/10]</p>
<p>9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [1/29/10]</p>
<p>9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [1/29/10]</p>
<p>10 treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]</p>

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