www.youtube.com/watch?v=k2aFW4yQ8Ac

Quote of the week. “Live out of your imagination, not your history.”– Dr. Stephen Covey

Retail sales increase. Friday, the Census Bureau estimated retail sales up 0.5% for January, with a 4.7% year-over-year gain from January 2009. Of course it really wasn’t that hard to beat 2009’s numbers. Do you remember 2 Christmas’s ago? We were all pretty sure the world was coming to an end? Anyway, the half-percent gain topped the +0.3% forecast of economists polled by Briefing.com.^1,2

How are things off the sales floor? According to the Commerce Department, wholesale inventories shrank by 0.8% in December. Factory inventories were reduced by 0.1%, and retail stockpiles stayed flat (so to speak). U.S. companies had 1.26 months supply of goods on hand, the lowest figure since June 2008. You can hear factories humming.³

Consumer sentiment declines a bit. February’s preliminary Reuters/University of Michigan index of sentiment came in at 73.7. Late last month, the index was at 74.4. On the other hand, it was down at 56.3 one year ago. The gauge of current economic conditions hit 84.1, the highest mark in 23 months.⁴

A quick check on gold, copper & oil. They all advanced last week. Gold gained $37.30 over five days to close Friday at $1,089.50 an ounce (a 3.54% weekly gain). Copper rose 7.88% across its best week since July. Crude oil futures finished at $74.13 per barrel on the NYMEX Friday after a 4.13% weekly gain.⁵

NASDAQ gains 2%. That index outperformed the DJIA and S&P 500, rising 1.98% across a choppy yet winning week for all three major U.S. indices. The NASDAQ closed Friday at 2,183.53. The S&P 500 and DJIA both ascended 0.87% last week to finish respectively at 1,075.51 and 10,099.14 Friday. The U.S. stock markets will be closed February 15 for the Presidents’ Day holiday.⁶

(Source: CNBC.com, CNNMoney.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 2/12/10)^6,7,8,9

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be

invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.

Now the part everyone has been waiting for, the riddle of the week.

Last week’s riddle: A family has a mother, father and four daughters. Each daughter has one brother. How many people are in the family?

Answer: Seven people. Each of the daughters have one brother, there is not one brother for each daughter.

Congratulation to Stephen Shepard who was not the first to get the answer correct, but was the first to get the answer correct and follow directions. You’ll be getting that Starbucks gift card in the mail shortly.

Now for this week’s riddle of the week. I am used to bat with, yet I never get a hit. I am near a ball, yet it is never thrown. What am I?

If you know the answer, post it below on this blog and I’ll let you know if you have won this week’s prize.

Citations.

1 census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.html [2/12/10]

2 blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2010/02/12/january-retail-sales-beat-sp-futures-down/ [2/12/10]

3 businessweek.com/news/2010-02-12/inventories-at-u-s-companies-unexpectedly-fall-as-sales-rise.html [2/12/10]

4 reuters.com/article/idUSTRE61B2XI20100212 [2/12/10]

5 blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2010/02/12/data-points-energy-metals-222/? [2/12/10]

6 cnbc.com/id/35371644 [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F12%2F09&mode=add&symb=DJIA [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F11%2F05&mode=add&symb=DJIA [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F11%2F00&mode=add&symb=DJIA [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F12%2F09&mode=add&symb=COMP [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F11%2F05&mode=add&symb=COMP [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F11%2F00&mode=add&symb=COMP [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F12%2F09&mode=add&symb=SPX [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F11%2F05&mode=add&symb=SPX [2/12/10]

7 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=2%2F11%2F00&mode=add&symb=SPX [2/12/10]

8 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [2/12/10]

8 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [2/12/10]

9 treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]

www.youtube.com/watch?v=w5-TxwTyErQ

Quote of the week. “Reputation is what other people know about you. Honor is what you know about yourself.”– Lois McMaster Bujold

4Q GDP: 5.7%: That is the preliminary reading from the Commerce Department, and that is the best reading since 3Q 2003. Economists pointed out that much of the increase reflected companies rebuilding their inventories rather than personal spending.¹

Consumers think positive. The final University of Michigan/Reuters consumer sentiment index for January improved 1.6 points to 74.4. Economists polled by Briefing.com felt it would come in at 73.0.²

New concerns about home sales. Both new and existing home sales retreated markedly in December with the threat of federal tax credits being pulled. Existing home sales fell by 16.7% in that month while new home sales slipped 7.6%. In annual terms, residential resales for 2009 were about 5% higher than 2008 totals. Just 373,000 new single-family homes were sold in 2009, the fewest since the government began tracking sales stats in 1963.^3,4

A $5K hiring rebate? Last week, President Obama pitched the idea of giving companies of all sizes a $5,000 credit to offset payroll taxes for each new worker, up to a $500,000 ceiling. Net new hires (increasing employee hours) and salary increases could also make companies eligible. A proposal to enact the plan is now in the Senate.⁵

Dollar hits highest level since August. The buck went on an intraday climb to 90.92 yen and the euro traded below $1.39. The new GDP report helped.⁶

So long to a subpar month. Stocks retreated in the last week of January, with the Dow ending the month at 10,067.33, the NASDAQ at 2,147.35 and the S&P 500 at 1,073.87.⁷

(Source: CNBC.com, CNNMoney.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 1/29/10)^7,8,9,10

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be

 invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.

Riddle of the week. A plastic bottle filled with cola weighs one liter. What do you need to add to it to make it weigh less than two ounces?

Contact my office or see next week’s Update for the answer.

Last week’s riddle: A glass of water has an ice cube in it. If the ice cube fully melts, will the water level increase, decrease or remain the same?

Last week’s riddle answer: The water level will stay the same as the ice cube just displaces its weight.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx^®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards.

Citations.

1 pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2010/01/us-economy-expands-at-fastest-rate-in-six-years.html [1/29/10]

2 money.cnn.com/2010/01/29/markets/markets_newyork/ [1/29/10]

3 money.cnn.com/2010/01/27/real_estate/new_home_sales/ [1/27/10]

4 nytimes.com/2010/01/30/business/economy/30charts.html [1/29/10]

5 time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1957663,00.html?xid=rss-topstories [1/29/10]

6 cnbc.com/id/35136215/ [1/29/10]

7 cnbc.com/id/35017549 [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F29%2F09&mode=add&symb=DJIA [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F28%2F05&mode=add&symb=DJIA [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F28%2F00&mode=add&symb=DJIA [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F29%2F09&mode=add&symb=COMP [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F28%2F05&mode=add&symb=COMP [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F28%2F00&mode=add&symb=COMP [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F29%2F09&mode=add&symb=SPX [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F28%2F05&mode=add&symb=SPX [1/29/10]

8 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=1%2F28%2F00&mode=add&symb=SPX [1/29/10]

9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [1/29/10]

9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [1/29/10]

10 treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]